{"id":2524,"date":"2026-07-14T06:43:36","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T06:43:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/?p=2524"},"modified":"2026-07-14T06:44:06","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T06:44:06","slug":"jpmorgandan-turkiye-tahminleri-dolar-yil-sonunda-514-tl-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/?p=2524","title":{"rendered":"JPMorgan tahminleri: Dolar y\u0131l sonunda 51,4 TL olabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin beklentilerini g\u00fcncelledi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son de\u011ferlendirme raporunda enflasyon, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, faiz ve d\u00f6viz kuru tahminlerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Banka, 2026 sonunda dolar\/TL&#8217;nin 51,4&#8217;e, 2027 sonunda ise 61,7&#8217;ye y\u00fckselece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Raporda, d\u00f6viz kurundaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyretmesi sayesinde kur ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011finin ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlere g\u00f6re s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, enflasyon dinamiklerinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu vurguland\u0131. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (TCMB) y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda faiz indirimlerinde temkinli hareket etmesi gerekti\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kritik e\u015fik olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">JPMorgan, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen asgari \u00fccret d\u00fczenlemesini enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n seyri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirdi. Banka, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ortam\u0131nda T\u00fcrk liras\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zlanabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Enflasyon ve faiz tahminleri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bankan\u0131n tahminlerine g\u00f6re:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2026 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi: %3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2027 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi: %4,6<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026 y\u0131l sonu enflasyonu: %29<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2027 y\u0131l sonu enflasyonu: %25<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026 y\u0131l sonu politika faizi: %35<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2027 y\u0131l sonu politika faizi: %30<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026 y\u0131l sonu dolar\/TL: 51,4<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2027 y\u0131l sonu dolar\/TL: 61,7<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dolar 47 liran\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Raporun yay\u0131mland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcn dolar\/TL kuru 47 liran\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak tarihi zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Kurdaki y\u00fckseli\u015fte, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda yeniden t\u0131rmanan gerilim ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;na ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin k\u00fcresel piyasalarda dolara talebi art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de y\u0131ll\u0131k resmi enflasyon haziran itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 32,11 seviyesinde bulunurken, TCMB politika faizini son Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 37&#8217;de sabit tuttu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin beklentilerini g\u00fcncelledi. JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son de\u011ferlendirme raporunda enflasyon, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, faiz ve d\u00f6viz kuru tahminlerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Banka, 2026 sonunda dolar\/TL&#8217;nin 51,4&#8217;e, 2027 sonunda ise 61,7&#8217;ye y\u00fckselece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Raporda, d\u00f6viz kurundaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyretmesi sayesinde kur ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011finin ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlere g\u00f6re s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, enflasyon dinamiklerinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2527,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[911,910],"class_list":["post-2524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-turkiye","tag-turkiye-ekonomisi","tag-uluslararasi-yatirim-bankasi-jpmorgan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2524"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2524\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2529,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2524\/revisions\/2529"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bimanset.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}